CBC, a photo report: after the first round, 4 October, fire counts across the Amazon biome have tripled, the text says, from a year near historic lows. Flávio Bolsonaro 47 per cent. Lula da Silva 45. The runoff, 25 October. Who set the fire is not written. Who wins is not either.

Environment minister João Paulo Capobianco, to the Associated Press: indications of a premeditated effort. He flew over on Sunday and Wednesday. Protected areas, a geometric pattern, in his telling. It is not a conviction. G1, via AFP: almost double in Amazonas against all of October 2025. 1,608 outbreaks since the start of the month, against 874 then. El Niño, drought, heat. The minister: it does not look like escaped farm fire. It looks, he says, like degradation to take land. Organised, intense. A possible link to the election: a line of inquiry, not proof. Politicians who put the smoke in campaign ads, still him, without extra names.

Tarcísio de Freitas, re-elected São Paulo governor, Republicanos: Lula’s government, negligence. CBC: right-wing allies, including Nikolas Ferreira, piled on. Lula, Saturday on X, did not answer them. He spoke with Amazonas governor Roberto Cidade. Federal resources for the fight. G1: 11 aircraft, about 300 firefighters. The minister hopes to turn it around in the coming days. That is his hope.

Manaus, 2.3 million people. The smoke. Public schools shut since Friday. Masks, in CBC. Daily life, not a slogan. Wednesday, Capobianco back in Manaus, with justice minister Wellington César Lima e Silva, federal police, Abin. To identify those responsible. Amazonas state is investigating too. No defendant’s name in these texts.

Flávio, in CBC: denies climate change, calls himself an environmental defender, without forest details. Jair Bolsonaro, the father, had deforestation up. Lula, down, lowest in a decade, still there. Capobianco, to G1: halved 2022–2025. It is not the cause of October’s fire. It is background. The photograph: forest, 17 May 2026. Not this week’s front. Not the smoke in Manaus.

Image: flowcomm, Amazon rainforest, Brazil, 17 May 2026, CC BY 4.0, Wikimedia Commons. Not October’s fire front.

Sources consulted: See the Amazon rainforest wildfires that have politicians pointing fingers amid Brazil presidential elections — CBC News; Ministro diz que ação criminosa pode estar por trás de incêndios no AM — G1.